The Battle of Waterloo in 3 minutes

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© David Lawrence 2000

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The Battle of Waterloo in 3 minutes
or 'My republic for a cell phone'

June 18th 1815


 

 

What if?

Supposing Napoleon had NOT sent Marshal Grouchy off on a mission to 'seek and delay' Field Marshal Blücher - the Prussian commander - and therefore had 30,000 more troops to fight Wellington in the first seven hours.

Could this have altered the course of the battle? If you have thoughts on this and other aspects and would like to express them for possible inclusion on this site, please e-mail lawrence@carol.net with the subject 'Waterloo'.

 

'What if' submission by:

Charles Reilly <chuck@mail.midcom.com>


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The "what ifs" concerning the Battle of Waterloo are so numerous they could fill an entire text. There are two most important "what ifs", however. What if Napoleon hadn't had absolute contempt for his two adversaries and studied their previous tactics (particularly Wellington's use of reverse slopes). He would have first realized that Wellington's position on the battlefield was advantageous only to the Allies and that an all-day assault, even if somewhat victorious, would completely drain his entire army of resources and manpower.

Also, the forest at Wellington's rear wouldn't have prevented an Allied retreat. In fact, Wellington himself had scouted the area the previous year and knew that there was but little undergrowth and that he could easily slip his men and artillery through it in quick order if he had to.

Also part of the first "what if" is Napoleon's disbelief in the recuperative powers of the Prussia Army and its commander, Marshal Blucher. If there was any doubt in Napoleon's mind about the impossibility of Blucher rejoining with Wellington, he certainly didn't exhibit it on the morning of the 18th of June 1815. He merely scoffed at his aides, Marshal Ney and, in particular, his own brother Jerome who warned him of the disasters ahead. Napoleon simply didn't take either Blucher or Wellington serious enough to warrant any contingency plans or alternate strategies, therefore he had none on this fateful day.

The second most important "what if" is what if Napoleon decided to disengage from Wellington and attack the remaining forces of Blucher instead. If he had employed this strategy the outcome of the war may have been entirely different. Here again, because of his lack of knowledge of Wellington, he never considered this option. He didn't realize that Wellington was a notoriously slow pursuer, even after the most lopsided victories and probably would have taken his good-old-time to come to Blucher's aid ( if he decided to come at all ). Can you imagine the utter chagrin of Blucher if, as he's heading towards Wellington to assist him, he instead runs into Napoleon's main forces head-on? Old Blucher would have died cursing Wellington and the British in his last breath.

The are many so-called "what ifs" regarding this fateful day and Wellington, in his long-lived years after the war, heard them all. In his extreme old age, one of his former Peninsula officers asked him this question: "Why didn't Napoleon merely defend France in the spring of 1815 instead of attacking everything in sight? He would have had plenty of time to build an impregnable defence system, and surely he would have lasted much longer than the 100 Days." The old Duke, smiled a bit and, after shaking his head in his customary manner, replied with this famous quote: "My dear fellow, the reason is this. A conqueror is like a cannonball...he can only go forward. Once he rebounds his career is over."


 

'What if' submission by:

FrankieB401@aol.com

 

Instead of sending Grouchy, Ney should have been sent with a smaller force. Also going North, but instead of following in the Prussians wake they would be used to guard Napoleon's right flank. This would have given the French both more men and more time. The Guard's battalions and all of Lobau's divisions would have been available for crushing blows even if Ney had over 30,000 men with him. The key here is Ney's force instead of being almost 15 miles from the battle would have been only three to five miles away and parallel to Napoleon's right flank. Even as he would be battling the Prussians, who were trying to reach Wellington, he could have easily afforded to have a brigade or two attack Wellington's left flank. Oh yes, I almost forgot, Soult would have been the man to choose to lead the main attacking force, not Ney.  

Thanks for letting me express my views.


'What if' submission by:

Bill Cunningham <bill.cunningham@
connectfree.co.uk>

Wellington also had 17000 prime troops guarding his line of retreat so you can ask the same what if. If those troops were there it would undoubtably of made a differance.



'What if' submission by:

Fedor Zarhin <zarhin@hotmail.com>

What interests me is what would have happenned if Boney didn't wait for the fields to dry to get the artillery out. If he would have started the attack right at 7 o'clock, he would have gotten an extra 4 hours before the Prussians came. Of course. he could have been battered by the enemy artillery... Nevertheless, i think in his earlier days he would not have delayed.



'What if' submission by:

Tom Utterback <sagemenscircle@yahoo.com>

I feel sorry for Ney. He has been severly criticized for his decision-making at Waterloo. It seems to me this is unfair. Ney was a very young man, of unquestionable personal bravery who had distinguished himself in many previous battles. We know that Napolean was ill and distracted at Waterloo, thus forcing more decision-making responsibility upon Ney. If I recall correctly, Ney had 3 horses shot out from underneath him at Waterloo. He was also wounded several times, at least one of which was fairly serious. Thus, he was exhausted, in pain, highly stressed. Add to that that this was 1815 and the field of battle was covered in smoke from cannon fire and no one had a "cell phone" and one could very easily come to the conclusion that this could just have easily have happened on the other side. Seeing wounded British troops withdraw from the battle could easily have been interpreted as a general retreat. Add to that the luck of Blucher's arrival made possible by the rain, the decision by Napolean to send Grouchy off, etc and we see why Wellington called this a "damn near thing". Ney deserves more credit than he has been given.



'What if' submission by:   

  Peter
<budgell5@nb.sympatico.ca>

I think the reason the battle was lost, was because Marshal Ney took it upon himself about 330 pm in the afternoon, after he had been attacking La haye Sainte, which he didn"t capture, to order up the cavalry of Milhaud to attack the British center. Quite simply he had no orders to do so. Napoleon gave him orders to take the farm house, that's all. I believe if Ney hadn't attacked the Allied center at this time, and had reported directly to Napoleon, on his further course of action, which at this time wouldn't have been given. Remember the Emperor had said that morning he would pound the allies with his artillery, launch his cavalry and march straight at them with his Guard. Ney knew this, and with the Prussian intervention shortly after, I think this grand attack would have been made not so long after Neys failed attack on La haye Sainte, and if this had happened even with the Prussians attacking his right, he'd have won the battle.



'What if' submission by:   

John Valastro
<jon1@sympatico.ca>

Napoleon should have marched with 150,000 men. This total would have given him sufficient strength to fight Wellington and Blucher in combination or it would have delayed the battle. The essence of Napoleon's mistake was that he fought on Wellington's terms. A smaller force of 10-12,000 would have scouted the Prussians. Napoleon should have attacked the wings of Wellington's army at 7 A.M.and continued the attack without pause. Since Napoleon would have had a strong centre, it is unlikely that Wellington could have launched a decisive attack. Napoleon should have wittled away Wellington's flanks simultanously with concentrated attacks that would have drained Wellington's reserves and preserved his own centre. The strategy of Napoleon should have been to squeeze Wellington like an accordian thus netrualizing Wellington's use of the slopes. Wellington would have lost the battle because his line would have been overextended attempting to hold right and left while his centre would have been paralyzed by the threat of Napoleon's strong centre. A numerical advantage is always beneficial to a highly skilled commander. Also, Marshals Davout and Soult should have been present at Waterloo.



'What if' submission by:   

Phil Carroll
<pwol123@hotmail.com>

Napoleon left his Imperial guard idle for too long during the battle. One of his prime strategies was to ensure (unsuccessfully) that the British and the Prussians should not join forces. Rather than send Grouchy to find the Prussians he should have kept his main force together, perhaps sending fast cavalry to locate Blucher. Wellington had deliberately placed his strength in the centre and the right expecting his left to be reinforced by Bluchers arrival. An all out assault by Napoleon on Wellingtons left would have outflanked the British forces, forcing Wellingtons retreat and thereby having the same desired effect of preventing the link up between the Allied armies. Blucher would have been unlikely to launch an attack at that time of the day on his own against a French army holding the field and would have had no  option but to seek to rejoin Wellington in Brussels. Although Napoleon could have won the battle it is difficult to see where he would go  next, Even if Brussels had fallen he still had the might of almost all the rest of Europe against him. He would have fared far better by restricting his activities to France and suing for peace.  His reforms within France still carry weight today.



'What if' submission by:

Michael Dock mins
<neo_napoleon@msn.com>

I think that if used decisively, the extra 30,000 could have been able to defeat Wellington, but only if done incredibly quickly. Then Napoleon would have to turn to his right and face Blucher with a depleted army that had just fought a hard battle. So maybe it wouldn't have mattered because Napoleon might have lost to the Prussians afterwords anyways. Just my thoughts.



'What if' submission by:

"Phil"
<p_carroll@blueyonder.co.uk>

Further to my comments above, hows this for a WHAT IF.  What if Wellington had employed companies of ARCHERS at Waterloo. The British Baker rifle was accurate at range but slow to reload, the infantry's musket was quicker to load but very inaccurate at anything over 50 yards. The french tactic of sending in  columns to batter down the enemy was Napoleons well known  favourite usage of the Imperial Guard. This however badly restricted  their fire power as only the front ranks and the files on either side of the column could effectively use their muskets as they attacked. By the same  token troops firing into the column would only take out the front ranks. Imagine if instead archers with longbows had poured arrows into the centres of the columns firing  high  and fast (5 - 10 times the rate of musket fire) and pretty well unable to  miss in  those  packed columns.  Faced with that lot dropping out of the  sky I for one would have been hi-tailing back down  that hill PDQ



'What if' submission by:

Aykut Koç
<aykutkoc@stanford.edu >

I trace the most important, and to me the most decisive, 'what if' situation about Waterloo in not the exact day of Waterloo but just two days before: 16th of June 1815, when the battles of "Quatre-Bras" and "Ligny" were fought simultaneously. When speaking of Waterloo, these three days of actions from the 16th to 18th should be considered as a whole and as subparts of the general term of "Waterloo", in a more broad sense. This is because, after Napoleon had crossed the border and engaged the Allies, the events and decisions leading to the French disaster happened rapidly and continuously as a 3-days long battle (similar to Leipzig maybe), though not happened on a continuos front and with a no-action day of 17th. Thus, Waterloo cannot be abstracted from the battles of 16th.

In 16th, when Marshal Ney was fighting against Wellington at Quatre-Bras, General D'Erlon's I Corps of French Army was supposed to be under Ney's command and Ney taken into account this corps to launch his decisive assault on Wellington to master the crossroads at Quatre-Bras and also to beat Wellington's army. After Wellington managed to settle the balance of manpower at Quatre-Bras, Ney have to wait for the arrival of D'Erlon's corps. Napoleon, however, was fighting the Prussians at Ligny and thinks about using this corps. Although Napoleon crushed the Prussians, he was not able to put them in a total rout and his plan is to use D'Erlon's corps to envelop the right wing of the Prussian army. Clearly this cause to a total disaster for the Prussians and most probably they was not able to even think to continue fighting. Due to the lack of corresponce and some other effects, D'Erlon, whose corps was marching towards Quatre-Bras in a line just between the Napoleon at Ligny and Ney at Quatre-Bras, had received inconsistent orders from both of his superiors, Ney and Napoleon, saying him to march both left and right, respectively. He had to change the marching direction of his corps twice and waste so many hours resulting in an unfortunate situation that he could intervene NONE of the engagements. As a result, Ney cannot beat English Army but only prevent them joining the Prussians at Ligny and Napoleon cannot totally enjoy his victory at Ligny by eliminating the Prussian Army. Both Allied armies managed to survive the day and continue to their course of rejoining afterwards.

The orders given to D'Erlon in 16th both by written and oral were very controversial and were not totally put under light. What if this discrepency did not happen? What if Napoleon or someone from his staff did not ask D'Erlon to march Ligny by by-passing his direct superior, Ney and by not considering Ney's plans? What if Ney did not send an order to turn D'Erlon for a second time when he was informed that I corps was marhcing out of Quatre-Bras. What if D'Erlon did use his initiative other than merely obeying the newly arrived order and pursue only one of the ways insistingly and showed up either of the battle scenes? For sure, the course of Waterloo in a general sense would be different and maybe the next battle would be fought in somewhere else, resulting most probably in favor of the French. If Ney was able to use D'Erlon's corps, he would crush the English at Quatre-Bras and pursue them away from the Prussians. Or, if D'Erlon had arrived the left wing of Napoleon, most of the Prussian Army, which had been already beaten, would be destroyed and they can only retreat in total disorder towards Namur, far away from the English.

I think this action of I corps in 16th played more decisive role than any other action seen in this battle, I think even more than the engagements in Waterloo itself.

Thank you very much for this oppurtuniy.

Aykut Koç Graduate Student
Stanford University
Department of Electrical Engineering



'What if' submission by:

OLIVER, STUART
< 0201142@abertay.ac.uk >

Wellington proved that he was inept as a General at Waterloo. Had it not been for three pieces of unforeseeable and unbelievable strokes of luck he would have, not only succeeded in destroying his whole army and subsequently condemning the Prussians to inevitable destruction, but also have destroyed the entire allied grand strategy.

Firstly, unless Wellington had some divine gift he could not have known that the day and night before the battle would be characterised by an unseasonal and incessant rainfall. This succeeded in delaying Napoleons attack sufficiently to allow Blucher to reach the battlefield in time to influence things. All other factors remaining the same, had the weather not been so severe Napoleon would have attacked earlier and driven Wellington off the ridge by shortly after mid-day. (A further point is that the massive bombardment of Wellington's centre would have been devastating had the ground not been damp enough to absorb the majority of the blast from each round shot)

Secondly, Wellington could not possibly have known that Marshal Grouchy, a man with a satisfactory military record and who should have been more than adept at handling a medium sized body of troops, would succeed in neither preventing the Prussians reaching the battlefield or, when he failed to do so, arrive on the battlefield himself. He achieved a feat that no-one could have foreseen and Grouchy was the officer who can be most attributed with the Allied victory as he surely could not have played a bigger part in Napoleons defeat at Waterloo even if he and his men were on the opposing side!

Thirdly, Unless taken into confidence by Dr Larrey, Wellington can not have known that Napoleon would fail to be present for large parts of the battle due to illness. He may well have known of Napoleons deteriorating health but his actual physical and mental state on June the 15th can clearly not have been known to Wellington. All other factors remaining and even though Napoleon was no longer the genius of old, his continued presence on the field would have prevented the mistakes that cost the French so dear. For one the undoubtedly courageous but , by this stage of his career, completely incompetent Ney, would not have destroyed the entire cavalry in a ridiculous and unsupported charge. Had Napoleon been able to prevent the destruction of his cavalry then, even if the battle had ended in defeat, he would have had a good chance of executing a more ordered retreat and saving a large portion of his army. This combined with the men that Grouchy had somehow managed to avoid committing would have allowed Napoleon another stand, unless his health failed which it is realistic to surmise.

"from the sublime to the ridiculous is but a step". These words by Napoleon summarise Wellington's involvement at Waterloo and through the whole 100 days. The most amazing run of luck in history prevented Wellington being destroyed and undoing the entire allied strategy and he is now revered as a Military genius.

Napoleon's strategy was sound, if luck had been on his side he would hav destroyed the British and Prussians which would, in my view, have resulted in the remaining allied nations accepting peace. The French nation would have gained a tremendous lift also and so even if the remaining allied forces had continued the war, France would have been very difficult todefeat.


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